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Even if you win 55% of your bets, you will come out consistently ahead. This is, alternatively, easier said than done and involves More about the author than just a little reading and checking the injury reports. If Paul the octopus picked every winner within the recent soccer World Cup, picking winning football teams should be just as easy, right? Wrong. If it were that easy, plenty of people will be making money as well as the sports books would have to go out of business. If winning at football betting involves some knowledge, some strategy and, let us face it, a dash of luck, it is since the bookmakers set very tight lines for the games. In contrast, if you keep the next tips in mind, it should enhance your chances of winning.
Bet as early while you can. Many of the sports books post their lines as early because they can and some offshore books do this by Sunday afternoon for the following week’s games. If you locate a game and odds that you like ensure that you will discover no serious injury problems for the team that you pick. Bookmakers are not perfect and may make mistakes in setting the line. Pounce early before heavy betting irons out the mistakes.
Pay attention to several teams. Because knowledge is important, if you concentrate on a few teams, you can build up a substantial amount of knowledge that you can use in making your bets. Also limit your betting to just several games every Sunday.
Avoid heavy favorites. The crowd loves favorites and can rush to bet on them. On the contrary, they can be not good choices if you want to maintain your 55% average in winning bets. Even if you do win several, the payouts will be small. The top strategy is to bet on short priced underdogs because, whenever you win, you generally make more than you have bet.
Use totals judiciously. Totals set early within the week are typically according to predictions of good weather. In late season games, rain or snow sometimes affects the scoring and also a heavy wind almost always keeps scoring down. In these conditions, you would do well by betting the Under
Use yards per play ranking. One method of evaluating teams is to look at the offensive yards gained per play as well as the defensive yards given away per play. Teams that gain more than they lose find yourself winning more games. The statistics are easily available and you can calculate the difference with a positive difference being an advantage. The rule of thumb to calculate a points spread from the yardage differential is that every 0.15 yards may be worth one point. A differential of 0.60 yards between the two teams may be worth four points. As with all betting tools, use your other data and information to confirm your findings.
Don’t avoid teasers. There’s a common perception that teasers are a rip-off and so best avoided. Under certain circumstances, an NFL teaser which is a two-game parlay bet could make sense.
Pay attention to the injury reports. Read the injury reports carefully to ascertain what difference it’s going to make to the performance of your chosen team. Do not just look at key players because all the guys within the team have to perform at their peak.
